就新闻而言，伊朗与美国的关系日益激烈。伊朗原子能组织（AEOI）发言人Behrouz Kamalvandi 8日表示，伊朗的浓缩铀浓度达到4.5％，进一步超过伊拉克。核协议中规定的3.67％。他提出了60天的警告，如果伊朗核协议仍无法维持伊朗的原因，伊朗将把浓缩铀的丰度提高到20％。
Analysts at Texas-based Drillinginfo believe that oil prices may continue to consolidate within the range of $56-60/barrel as the market is digesting the tension between tensions in the Middle East and insufficient growth in global demand. These two major issues are unlikely to be resolved quickly. The recent range of oil price fluctuations and the broader range of $50-64/barrel will be a possible range of WTI crude oil until the problem is resolved later this year.
In addition, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in the short-term energy outlook that US crude oil production in 2019 is forecast to be 12.36 million barrels per day, up from the 12.32 million barrels expected in June. The 2020 production is estimated at 13.26 million barrels per day. In 2019, WTI is expected to be $59.58 per barrel, compared to the previous forecast of $59.29 per barrel. WTI prices are expected to remain at $63/barrel in 2020. In 2019, the price of Brent crude oil was US$66.51 per barrel, which was previously expected to be US$66.69 per barrel.
Iran threatens to break through the upper limit of uranium enrichment In 2015, the Iranian nuclear agreement was completely over?
Iranian Atomic Energy Organization spokesman Behrouz Kamalvandi said on the 8th that Iran's enriched uranium abundance has exceeded the 3.67% ceiling set by the 2015 nuclear deal, which may further increase abundance. He went on to point out that as part of Iran’s commitment to cancel the agreement, strengthening the purity of uranium enrichment to 20% or higher is “within the options under consideration”.
Pipeline pollution crisis has two major impacts: Russia may try to push up oil prices in the second half of the year?
xxVitaly Yermakov, a senior researcher at the Oxford Energy Institute, said the Druzha incident exposed weaknesses in the Russian oil transportation system. This will have two important implications for the entire crude oil market. The first impact is that the supply pattern of crude oil in Europe and the world is facing new challenges. The protagonist involved in the second important impact is the Russian domestic pipeline operator who was really scarred in this crisis.
(Article source: Oriental Fortune Securities Research Institute)
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